INFLUENCE OF MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES ON FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OF COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE MARKET IN KENYA

MERCY KEILLAH, DR. OLUOCH OLUOCH (Ph.D)

Abstract


The real estate industry plays a very important role in the economy. The industry has increasingly attracted the attention of investors in the recent past. Kenya’s real estate industry is expected to remain strong in coming years. This has not been the case and thus this study sought to establish the effects of macroeconomic variables on the financial performance of commercial real estate market in Kenya given they are key in the growth of the country’s economy. The study was carried out through a descriptive research design. The measure of performance of the real estate companies was measured against the macroeconomic variables such as economic growth, inflation, interest rate, and exchange rate. The study found that GDP growth and performance of commercial real estate market in Kenya had a positive and significant relationship. The study also found that inflation and performance of commercial real estate market in Kenya had a negative and significant relationship. The study further found that interest rates had insignificant influence on the performance of commercial real estate market in Kenya. Also, the study revealed that exchange rates had positive and significant influence on the performance of commercial real estate market in Kenya. The study concluded that inflation rate has a substantial influence on the financial performance of the real estate market. Inflation reduces the value of money and hence does not favor the performance of real estate market. Also, the study concluded that exchange rate has significant influence on the financial performance of real estate market and that a unit increase in GDP growth will lead to an increase in economic growth which will stimulate investment in real estate market, hence there is positive correlation between GDP growth and the performance of real estate market. The study recommended that government should aim at controlling inflation rate in Kenya by making it generally constant at a low level.

Key Word: Macro Economy, Economic Growth, Inflation, Interest Rate, Exchange Rate

CITATION: Keillah, M., & Oluoch, O. (2018). Influence of macroeconomic variables on financial performance of commercial real estate market in Kenya. The Strategic Journal of Business & Change Management, 5(4), 2170 - 2179.             


Full Text:

PDF

References


Abbas, N., Khan, J., Azizi, R. & Sumrani, Z. (2015).A Study to Check the Applicability of Fama and French, Three-Factor Model on KSE 100-Index from 2004-2014, International Journal of Financial Research, 6(1), 91-100.

Allozi, N. M., & Obeidat, G. S., (2016) The Relationship between the Stock Return and Financial Indicators (Profitability, Leverage): An Empirical Study on Manufacturing Companies Listed in Amman Stock Exchange, Journal of Social Sciences, 5(3): 408-424.

Al-Salamat, W. A., & Mustafa, H.H.H., (2016) The Impact of Capital Structure on Stock Return: Empirical Evidence from Amman Stock Exchange, International Journal of Business and Social Science, 7(9): 183-196.

Baltagi, B.H. (2005), Econometric analysis of panel data,John wiley&sons.

Bhimani, A. (2008) “Making Corporate Governance Count: The Fusion of Ethics and Economic Rationality”. Journal of Management and Governance, 12, (2),135-147.

Bini, L., Giunta, F. &Dainelli, F, (2010).Signalling Theory and Voluntary Disclosure to the Financial Market - Evidence from the Profitability Indicators Published in the Annual Report Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1930177 Accessed on 15/6/2017.

Clark, T. (2004) “Theories of Corporate Governance: The Philosophical Foundations of Corporate Governance” London and New York: Routledge

Davis, J.H., Schoorman, F.D. and Donaldson, L. (1997) “Toward a Stewardship Theory of Management”. Academy of Management Review, 2(2), 20-47.

Duy, N. T., & Phuoc, N. P. H., (2016). The Relationship between Firm Sizes and Stock Returns of Service Sector in Ho Chi Minh City Stock Exchange, Review of European Studies, 8 (4): 210 -219.

Elly, O. D., & Oriwo, A. E. (2013). The Relationship Between Macro Economic Variables And Stock Market Performance In Kenya. DBA Africa Management Review,3(1). Retrieved fromhttp:www.uonbi.ac.ke/journals/files/journals/3/articles/1090/submission/review/1090-3950-1-RV.pdf on 15/6/2017.

Emamgholipour, M., Pouraghajan, A., Tabari, N. A. Y., Haghparast, M., Shirsavar, A. A. A. (2013). The Effects of Performance Evaluation Market Ratios on the Stock Return: Evidence from the Tehran Stock Exchange, International Research Journal of Applied and Basic Sciences, 4 (3), 696-703.

Fama E. F. & French, K.R. (1992).The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns.Journal of

Faroghi, D., &Jahromy, S. M. E., (2015) Impact of Profitability on Stock Returns Based on the Price, Return and Differenced Modelsin Tehran Stock Exchange, International Journal of Applied Business and Economic Research, 13(2): 955-970.

Finance, 47(2),427-466.

Freeman, R. E. (1984) “Strategic Management: A Stakeholder Approach”. Pitman, London

Ghasempour, A., &Ghasempour, M., (2013). The Relationship between Operational Financial Ratios and Firm’s Abnormal Stock Returns, Research Journal of Applied Sciences, Engineering and Technology, 6(15): 2839-2845.

Holmstrom, B. and Milgrom, P. (1994) “The Firm as an Incentive System”. The American Economic Review, 84, (4), 972-991.

Issahaku, H., Ustartz, Y., &Domanban, P., (2013). Macroeconomic variables and stock market returns in Ghana: any causal link?,Asian Economic and Financial Review, 3(8):1044-1062

Jensen, M.C. and Meckling, W. (1976) “Theory of the Firm: Managerial Behavior, Agency Costs and Ownership Structure”. Journal of Financial Economics, 3(5), 305-360

Jianlong, W., Jaaman, S., &Samsudin, H., (2015) Empirical Study on China Stock Market Base on Fama-French Model, Indian Journal of Science and Technology, 8 (11), 1-9.

Kale, S., &Akktya, M. (2015). The Relation between Confidence Climate and Stock Returns: The Case of Turkey, Procedia Economics and Finance, 3 (8 ) 150 – 162.

KNBS (2017), Economic Survey.




DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.61426/sjbcm.v5i4.1017

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.


Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

PAST ISSUES:
20242023202220212020201920182017201620152014
Vol 11, No 2 [2024]Vol 10, No 4 [2023]Vol 9, No 4 [2022]Vol 8, No 4 [2021]Vol 7, No 4 [2020]Vol 6, No 4 [2019]Vol 5, No 4 [2018]Vol 4, No 4 [2017]Vol 3, No 4 [2016]Vol 2, No 2 [2015]Vol 1, No 2 [2014]
 Vol 11, No 1 [2024] Vol 10, No 3 [2023] Vol 9, No 3 [2022]Vol 8, No 3 [2021]Vol 7, No 3 [2020]Vol 6, No 3 [2019]Vol 5, No 3 [2019]Vol 4, No 3 [2017]Vol 3, No 3 [2016]Vol 2, No 1 [2015]Vol 1, No 1 [2014]
  Vol 10, No 2 [2023] Vol 9, No 2 [2022]Vol 8, No 2 [2021]Vol 7, No 2 [2020]Vol 6, No 2 [2019]Vol 5, No 2 [2018]Vol 4, No 2 [2017]Vol 3, No 2 [2016]  
  Vol 10, No 1 [2023] Vol 9, No 1 [2022]  Vol 8, No 1 [2021]Vol 7, No 1 [2020]Vol 6, No 1 [2019]Vol 5, No 1 [2018]Vol 4, No 1 [2017]Vol 3, No 1 [2016]   


Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.